Our writers’ left-field F1 2025 predictions

It is customary to make the same old predictions forward of a model new Components 1 season: who’s going to win the title, which staff goes to be the constructors’ champion, yada and certainly, yada. Lately, even a crystal ball from Temu would probably lead any clairvoyants on a price range to foretell Max Verstappen would win the title, so there’s not been a lot enjoyable available in that space.

The 2025 season could be a bit completely different, however you’ll be able to relaxation assured that our solid of journalists will scribble down – or certainly, declare on video – their ideas for the title sooner or later this season.

As an alternative, we have determined to ask them some barely completely different questions on 2025’s proceedings – with a barely completely different slant, simply to check their imaginations. Here is what they stated about F1’s upcoming seventy fifth season…

Contributors: Jake Boxall-Legge, Filip Cleeren, Haydn Cobb, Ben Hunt, Erwin Jaeggi, Alex Kalinauckas, Mark Mann-Bryans, Kevin Turner, Ronald Vording.

What will likely be this yr’s fundamental technical controversy?

Ronald Vording: 2025 can turn into an fascinating yr for behind-the-scenes controversies. A variety of groups will search for loopholes within the 2026 rules and doubtless accuse others of exploring them. However I believe 2025 will ship extra of the identical, with a primary subject already there: the clampdown on flexi-wings and particularly the timing of it. Additional checks of the entrance wings solely come into play in Barcelona, and never all groups appear glad in regards to the actual timings and that comes as no shock. Groups with a entrance wing that did not flex as a lot as a few of its rivals are pressured to observe if they do not wish to have a drawback for eight races, earlier than these investments can probably go into the bin.

Alex Kalinauckas: Flexi-wings. Once more. With the foundations so steady and clarification already coming for the Spanish GP, the one space the place it appeared a number of groups had been gaining and others apparently dropping up by not pushing the envelope fairly has onerous in 2024 because the potential to be a significant bust up this time. Anticipate numerous social media ‘evaluation’ of movies showing to indicate wings deflecting at pace and subsequent technical director snark claiming it doesn’t present what anybody thinks it does.

Ben Hunt: Final season it was all flexi-wings and bibs. It has been some time since we now have had an excellent, old style engine row. I’m hope that we get one thing like that to see off this era of energy models.

McLaren MCL38 entrance wing endplate

Picture by: Giorgio Piola

Jake Boxall-Legge: I’ll make the outlandish suggestion that somebody’s going to provide you with one thing wild for 2025, on the idea that it is the final yr of the present regs and if it will get banned, they’ll simply change focus to 2026. That being stated, have we actually heard the final of the purported ride-height gadget that Crimson Bull was stated to have run – and might somebody capitalise on that legally (or, alternatively, by surreptitious means)? Hopefully!

What is going to set off one other Horner/Wolff disagreement?

Filip Cleeren: It seems like McLaren’s Zak Brown has taken over from Toto Wolff stirring the pot and attempting to prod Christian Horner, which I am positive is not coincidence once you see the constructors’ championship desk. So if one other Horner/Wolff spat is coming, it will probably coincide with Mercedes being reliably aggressive once more.

Alex Kalinauckas: The primary time Max Verstappen and George Russell get wherever close to one another on-track – even in testing. Verstappen’s unyielding persona will not be going to have grown any extra cuddly after a yr the place his cynical racing techniques had been severely questioned and Russell has been open in saying he hasn’t backed away from any of the purpose making he was doing within the 2024 Abu Dhabi finale whereas tucking in his little doubt calorie managed Christmas dinner both. In the event that they do collide, count on fireworks en masse.

Haydn Cobb: Max Verstappen – The courting of the Dutch driver is not over, even when Wolff stated it’s. Each Mercedes drivers are contracted till the tip of 2025 and no person would flip down the prospect to safe Verstappen’s providers. Assuming Antonelli would not throw it on the wall each race, the flirting will not be as sturdy as final yr, however I would not be stunned if Wolff laced a couple of feedback to maintain the hearth burning and Horner scowling.

Who will decide up the primary swearing advantageous of the yr?

Mark Mann-Bryans: Yuki Tsunoda – pissed off at being ignored for the Crimson Bull seat in favour of Liam Lawson, the diminutive Japanese driver will likely be aiming to indicate that the flawed determination was taken. So let’s be ready for some sturdy racing on observe and the potential for some sturdy language away from it ought to issues not fairly go Tsunoda’s manner.

Ben Hunt: For fuck’s sake, is that this nonetheless happening? I believe it is going to be Verstappen, who let’s bear in mind is already strolling a disciplinary tightrope. Might he turn into the primary F1 driver to obtain a race ban for swearing?

Max Verstappen, Crimson Bull Racing

Picture by: Crimson Bull Content material Pool

Kevin Turner: Isack Hadjar. In case you thought Max Verstappen’s and Yuki Tsunoda’s radio messages had been vibrant, wait till the French rookie will get going! There’s numerous stress on rookies in trendy F1 and Hadjar has earlier from F2…

Erwin Jaeggi: This would possibly double as my wildest F1 prediction for 2025, however I really don’t assume we’ll see any fines for swearing this yr. It’s not like press conferences had been ever crammed with profanity to start with, and when it did occur, it was normally unintentional. These drivers spend a lot of their lives in a marketing-driven surroundings and are effectively conscious they’re below fixed scrutiny. With swearing now carrying even harsher penalties and F1 drivers — being clever people — and staff PR employees probably maintaining an excellent nearer eye on it, I don’t assume this will likely be as a lot of a speaking level as it’s now. That stated, I do hope the stewards will present some widespread sense when coping with the occasional slip of the tongue.

Who will take the primary DNF of the season?

Filip Cleeren: Max Verstappen and Lando Norris in Melbourne after banging wheels in Flip 1 on the primary lap. Not as a result of I harbour any unwell emotions in opposition to both driver, however simply because it will be enjoyable, particularly off the entrance row.

Mark Mann-Bryans: Lewis Hamilton – I simply have a sense life at Ferrari could be tough for Hamilton to regulate to, particularly up in opposition to a powerful and Maranello-established team-mate in Charles Leclerc. He’ll get it proper ultimately and I fancy him to have an fulfilling first season with Ferrari – however I can not shake the thought of him struggling in Australia.

Kevin Turner: Andrea Kimi Antonelli or Lance Stroll. Antonelli will likely be quick and is clearly an thrilling expertise, however he will certainly have a couple of incidents as effectively. Aston Martin will in all probability be focusing its fundamental efforts on the regulation change for 2026, so the AMR25 could also be mired within the midfield and Stroll is, effectively, please see the 2024 Brazilian GP.

Ronald Vording: This may be anybody, however my educated guess would – for a number of causes – be Isack Hadjar. Driving for Racing Bulls he’ll more than likely begin within the midfield in Melbourne, and chaos isn’t far-off within the opening levels of that race. One of many fundamental duties for him this yr, as Helmut Marko rightfully pointed it, is to maintain his cool. That is not a simple activity for any newcomer in F1, however particularly not for Hadjar after we take his hot-headed radio feedback into consideration. Having stated that, a DNF at his debut would not be a catastrophe in any respect. Rookies ought to get time to study and Hadjar in all probability has the pure pace to succeed, so the moments of studying that 2025 will inevitably carry are all a part of the sport.

Ben Hunt: That is full guesswork in fact, however I might say Nico Hulkenberg at Sauber.

Lance Stroll, Aston Martin AMR24, will get beached within the gravel previous to the beginning

Picture by: Sam Bloxham / Motorsport Photos

Who may have the worst livery in 2025?

Haydn Cobb: Crimson Bull – Solely as a result of it is going to be the identical as yearly and even for iconic groups that will get boring. Take a look at the delicate however efficient tweaks Ferrari and Mercedes have made these days.

Alex Kalinauckas: Sauber. Going by current staff social media posts that completely undermine the purpose of the F1 75 Dwell occasion in London subsequent week, we already know what a swathe of the grids liveries are going to appear to be by way of their fundamental colors, with the (primarily) Swiss-based staff a part of this. And, based mostly on what we’ve seen to this point, 2025 goes to be a repeat of the lurid Dwell and Kicking meets Microsoft Paint method of final yr. Hopefully there will likely be somewhat extra of the Las Vegas squiggles, as the usual paint job by some means made neon inexperienced boring. Or perhaps that was simply the automobile’s tempo…

Ronald Vording: That is in all probability a detailed name between Haas and Sauber. Haas liveries aren’t normally probably the most thrilling ones on the grid and I do not assume 2025 will likely be an exception. The Sauber colors are extra hanging, however personally I wasn’t a fan of their 2024 look. This season will in all probability be extra of the identical, though you’ll be able to’t blame them for happening this route. Stake brings within the much-needed cash, particularly throughout these transitional years of the staff, which implies they’ve to simply accept any color scheme. Anyhow, the Sauber-Stake partnership will not result in any classics on the subject of F1 liveries…

Mark Mann-Bryans: You wish to assume all 10 groups will likely be pushing the envelope this yr, given they are going to be unveiling their liveries all below one roof at London’s O2 Enviornment on February 18. The probabilities are, nevertheless, at the least a type of 10 squads will make an error and overdo it. So on that foundation I will go for the staff that goals to be cool and, utilizing a saying not heard in 30 years, down with the children. So for me, Racing Bulls is my decide.

Which circuits will we lose from the calendar on the finish of 2025?

Alex Kalinauckas: Barcelona. The remaining both have contracts or wonderful Components One Administration hyperlinks (its personal occasion in Vegas simply isn’t going wherever) and it’s onerous to see how the Montmelo observe retains its place with Madrid’s arrival in 2026. In some ways it’s a disgrace to lose the very best total check of automobile designs. However the many race processions gained’t be missed, nor what generally is a patchy fan expertise at finest and an parched one at worst.

Erwin Jaeggi: I’ve a deep love for the Emilia-Romagna area — I am really planning to spend my summer time vacation there — however I worry Imola gained’t make it onto the 2026 calendar. With F1 aiming to increase its international attain, sustaining two races in Italy appears more and more tough. That stated, there’s hope that Imola may return sooner or later as a part of the rotation system F1 is trying to introduce.

Max Verstappen, Crimson Bull Racing RB20, Lando Norris, McLaren MCL38, Charles Leclerc, Ferrari SF-24, Carlos Sainz, Ferrari SF-24, the remainder of the sphere firstly

Picture by: Steven Tee / Motorsport Photos

Ben Hunt: Except for Imola, I do marvel if Mexico will renew its deal now that Sergio Perez is not on the grid. It will likely be fascinating to see what influence his departure from F1 has on ticket gross sales.

Jake Boxall-Legge: We’ll lose at the least one if F1 is sticking to a most of 24 races, and I am in all probability one of many few folks optimistic about Madrid (if nothing else, it will be a pleasant weekend away!) becoming a member of the calendar. I really like Imola, however that looks like the good cash choice, whereas Ben’s suggestion of Mexico additionally is sensible in a post-Perez period. Perhaps each go, and Kyalami fills the twenty fourth spot given South Africa’s newest push for a race? Stranger issues have occurred.

The place will Lawson end within the championship – and what number of races will he win?

Filip Cleeren: Like many, I’m nonetheless unsure what Liam Lawson’s final potential will likely be. However I do observe Crimson Bull’s reasoning that he will likely be up for the problem and will not wilt simply below the stress. I will put him down as fifth, inside a sizeable however respectable distance of Verstappen, and I can see a situation by which he nicks an opportunistic debut win.

Ronald Vording: Sixth, with zero race wins – quite a bit is dependent upon the RB21 and if Crimson Bull can remedy the steadiness points. Since Miami, Crimson Bull did not have the quickest automobile and confronted each steadiness and correlation points. Verstappen held onto his championship lead, however one have a look at his team-mate is sufficient to see how particular that efficiency was. Perez struggled, though the information exhibits that his deficit in comparison with Verstappen wasn’t a lot larger than in years earlier than. It simply turned extra painful as different groups caught up and ultimately handed Crimson Bull. Along with a really unpredictable automobile it proved a mountain to climb. Lawson will face the identical problem – effectively, hopefully for him with out the steadiness points – and doubtless has to take heed to Helmut Marko’s recommendation to succeed. Lawson should not have a look at Verstappen an excessive amount of and simply deal with himself.

Kevin Turner: Seventh. He will likely be nearer to Max Verstappen than Sergio Perez was and will beat Andrea Kimi Antonelli within the standings. However Crimson Bull in all probability will not be as sturdy because it was firstly of 2024 and the main target will likely be on getting as many factors and wins as potential for Verstappen. So, no wins and seventh for Lawson, which will not essentially be a catastrophe if he might be nearer to his staff chief than what we noticed at Crimson Bull final yr.

Which rookie will impress probably the most over 2025?

Ben Hunt: I’m excited to see how Oliver Bearman develops at Haas and I believe he will likely be spectacular, even when the outcomes don’t stand out. I believe the one who will impress probably the most will likely be Andrea Kimi Antonelli. It will likely be a steep studying curve however I imagine that, in Russell, he has the best teammate who can assist him develop rapidly.

Andrea Kimi Antonelli, Mercedes-AMG F1 Crew, Oliver Bearman, Reserve Driver, Ferrari and Haas F1 Crew, play pickleball within the Paddock

Picture by: Sam Bloxham / Motorsport Photos

Haydn Cobb: Oliver Bearman – If he can preserve his nostril clear within the tightly-fought midfield there’s a good alternative for him to bag headline-grabbing outcomes like he did in 2024. Plus, given the trajectory of the groups the opposite rookies have landed in (ignoring Lawson as a rookie on this situation) Haas has a powerful probability of main the cost to attempt to catch Aston Martin in fifth.

Jake Boxall-Legge: Antonelli ought to impress; he is acquired uncooked pace by the bucketload. However he’ll disappoint in equal measure, as he makes an attempt to search out the boundaries of F1 equipment and knocks the tough edges off his sport. I’ll say Bortoleto, as a result of I believe he is been totally sensible in his F2-F3 profession to this point. He is quick, constant, and I believe he’ll put Hulkenberg (who stays a category act) below stress at Sauber. The automobile may not be all that, however I reckon he is on for a few large paydays as soon as he is tailored to the rigours of the championship.

What’s your wildest 2025 F1 prediction?

Alex Kalinauckas: In an period of continually wild moments, F1 is frustratingly organized to minimise these in its personal sphere. F1 groups totally hate the unpredictable, whereas followers crave it. And is a Williams or Haas victory prediction really that wild? There’s loads of paddock life wildness mentioned in F1 – I hadn’t heard the phrase ‘Love Rhombus’ pre-2024 – however for everybody’s sake it’s unprintable. So, why not Lawson flipping off Oscar Piastri in an spectacular intra-antipodean Melbourne battle to the delight of the house crowd (assuming the McLaren driver nonetheless comes out on prime). I couldn’t have predicted he’d do it to Perez in Mexico in spite of everything, however maybe doing likewise to Verstappen at Zandvoort can be wildly unwise…

Erwin Jaeggi: We’ll head into the ultimate race in Abu Dhabi with three drivers nonetheless in rivalry for the World Championship. Max Verstappen goes to safe his fifth title, ending narrowly forward of Lando Norris and Charles Leclerc.

Haydn Cobb: Andrea Kimi Antonelli will not be the youngest driver on the F1 grid by the tip of the 2025 season – as that may go to Arvid Lindblad when he makes his grand prix debut later within the yr.

Filip Cleeren: On a current podcast I jested Williams’ Alex Albon is technically a world championship contender at this level, such is the fantastic array of pre-season prospects earlier than a wheel has been turned in anger. However I will simply double down on it and say both he or Carlos Sainz will by some means win a grand prix for Williams. Simply do not ask me how!

Mark Mann-Bryans: Haas pulled off a little bit of a coup touchdown Esteban Ocon for 2025 – so I’ll go for the Frenchman delivering the staff’s first-ever F1 podium. Roman Grosjean’s fourth place on the 2019 Austrian Grand Prix is the closest the squad has come to this point, however Ocon is aware of what’s required to get onto the highest three steps and, hopefully within the climate or with reliability, he may break this specific duck for the American outfit.